Perspectives on Public Policy in Societal-Environmental Crises : What the Future Needs from History

Weitere Verfasser: Izdebski, Adam , [HerausgeberIn]
Haldon, John F. , [HerausgeberIn]
Filipkowski, Piotr, 1977- , [HerausgeberIn]
Ort/Verlag/Jahr: Cham : Springer International Publishing AG, 2022.
Umfang/Format: 1 online resource (340 pages).
Schriftenreihe: Risk, systems and decisions (Series)
Schlagworte:
Electronic books.
Parallelausgabe: ISSN: 3-030-94136-1
Online Zugang: open access
Inhaltsangabe:
  • Intro
  • Acknowledgements
  • Contents
  • Introduction: What Sort of Past Does Our Future Need?
  • History and Public Policy in the Era of Planetary Crisis
  • What Stories Should Historians Be Telling at the Dawn of the Anthropocene?
  • The First Answer: The Anthropocene as a Challenge to Humankind
  • The Second Answer: The Anthropocene as a Viewpoint
  • The Third Answer: The Anthropocene as Opportunity for the Research Community
  • The Fourth Answer: History as Social Critique
  • References
  • The Anthropocene Contract. What Kind of Historian-Reader Agreement Does Environmental Historiography Need?
  • Introduction
  • A Response by a Theory of History
  • The Question of Readership
  • Egalitarian Historiography
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • History and Utopian Thinking in the Era of the Anthropocene
  • Introduction
  • History and Criticism in the Era of the Anthropocene
  • History and the Future in the Era of the Anthropocene
  • Conclusions
  • References
  • Potentials and Risks of Futurology: Lessons from Late Socialist Poland
  • Planetary Crises, Historiography and the Futurology of the Past
  • Future Research in Late Socialist Poland
  • Epistemology: Meta-Prognostic Modelling of the Future
  • Social Technology: Future Research as an Instrument of State Planning
  • Sociological Imagination: Future Research as Contemporary Utopia
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Globalization as Adaptive Complexity: Learning from Failure
  • Introduction
  • Looking to History
  • Defining Collapse
  • Identifying the Causes of Collapse
  • Systemic Mechanisms of Collapse
  • Tipping Points
  • Feedback Loops
  • Contagions
  • Cascades
  • Synchronous Failures
  • Cycles
  • Resilience and Mitigation
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Disjunctures of Practice and the Problems of Collapse
  • Introduction
  • Historical Experiments: Primacy, Principle and Practice.
  • Theory as Tool: Complex Adaptive Systems
  • Diversity, Flexibility and Durability: An Alternative Nomenclature with Alternative Implications
  • Learning from Systems Under Stress: Antecedents and Anticipation
  • What Relevance Can History Have if We Are Living in a No-Analog Age?
  • What Deep Time Perspectives Can Offer to Contemporary Debates
  • Possibilistic Reasoning, Counterfactuals and Scenario Modelling
  • Policy Implications
  • The Problems of Sustainability, Resilience, Transformation
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Climate Change
  • Geoengineering and the Middle Ages: Lessons from Medieval Volcanic Eruptions for the Anthropocene
  • Geoengineering and the Anthropocene
  • Volcanic Cooling and Solar Radiation Management
  • All Kinds of Uncertainties
  • The Role of Medieval History: More Precision
  • Dating Uncertainty and Historical Sources
  • Clarifying the Conditions of a Possible Future: Let Frankenstein Sleep
  • References
  • A Perfect Tsunami? El Nino, War and Resilience on Aceh, Sumatra
  • Introduction
  • Monsoons and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
  • Earthquakes and Tsunamis
  • Natural Disasters and War
  • 1873-1880: Scorched Earth and Population Displacement
  • 1880-1884 War, Resilience, and Recovery
  • The Concentrated Line
  • Measuring Resilience at the Systemic Scale Through GIS
  • Sub-Systemic Resilience and Collapse: A Village View in Lamara
  • The Village Was Entirely Abandoned in 1891
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Social Responses to Climate Change in a Politically Decentralized Context: A Case Study from East African History
  • Introduction: Collapse, Resilience, and the Centralized State in Historical Climatology
  • 500 BCE-900 CE: Resilience Through Interaction
  • 900 to 1400-"collapse" and Transformation
  • Conclusion
  • References.
  • Resilience at the Edge: Strategies of Small-Scale Societies for Long-Term Sustainable Living in Dryland Environments
  • Introduction
  • Basin Wetlands
  • Linear Valleys
  • Conclusions
  • References
  • Beyond Boom and Bust: Climate in the History of Medieval Steppe Empires (C. 550-1350 CE)
  • Case Studies
  • Concluding Remarks
  • References
  • Lessons for Modern Environmental and Climate Policy from Iron Age South Central Africa
  • Introduction
  • Background
  • An Introduction to Historical Linguistics
  • Forgotten Strategies for Future Policy
  • References
  • Crisis and Recovery
  • Systemic Risk and Resilience: The Bronze Age Collapse and Recovery
  • Introduction
  • Systemic Resilience and Risk in Societies
  • Resilience
  • Systemic Risk
  • The Bronze Age
  • System Interconnectivity: Economic, Political and Cultural
  • Shocks and Interconnections
  • Mapping the Systems Collapse
  • Bronze Age Recovery
  • Conclusions: Parallels to the Modern Globalised World System
  • References
  • Panarchy and the Adaptive Cycle: A Case Study from Mycenaean Greece
  • Introduction
  • Brief Overview of the Bronze Age Collapse
  • Resilience/Adaptive Cycle/Panarchy
  • The Aegean Region as an Example of Panarchic Collapse
  • Discussion/Conclusions
  • References
  • Managing the Roman Empire for the Long Term: Risk Assessment and Management Policy in the Fifth to Seventh Centuries
  • The Late Roman Empire: An Administrative Approach
  • Landscape and Climatic Change in the Late Roman Empire: An Environmental Approach
  • The Late Roman Empire in the East: A Systems Approach
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival
  • Introduction
  • The Archaeological Science-Policy Interface
  • Problems of Collapse Discourse
  • How Are Archaeological Data Useful Now?
  • Getting Beyond Collapse?.
  • Human Ecodynamics Perspectives in the North Atlantic and Beyond
  • Qualitative Scenarios Storylines and Collaborative Conceptual Modelling
  • Norse Greenland
  • Lessons from the Past
  • Scenarios and Counterfactuals
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Resilience of Coupled Socio-Ecological Systems: Historic Rice Fields of the U.S. South
  • Defining Resilience
  • Resilience on Lowcountry Wetlands and in Lowcountry Rice Fields
  • Resilience, Climate Change, and the 21st Century Rice Field Infrastructure
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • The Short- and Long-Term Effects of an Early Medieval Pandemic
  • Introduction
  • Setting the Scene: The Roman Empire and the Outbreak of Plague
  • Short-Term Responses to the First Plague Outbreak in 542 C.E
  • Public Reaction
  • State Response in Constantinople
  • Annual to Decadal-Scale Responses
  • State Effects in the First Five Years: The 540s
  • Effects on a Decadal Scale: Causality and Caution
  • Conclusion
  • References
  • Migration and the Environment
  • The Integration of Settlers into Existing Socio-Environmental Settings: Reclaiming the Greek Lands After the Late Medieval Crisis
  • Introduction
  • The Turkish Nomads in Thessaly
  • The Albanians in the Peloponnese
  • Conclusions
  • Appendix
  • References
  • Eastward Migration in European History: The Interplay of Economic and Environmental Opportunities
  • References
  • The Environmental Dimension of Migration: The Case of Poland After World War II
  • References
  • Conclusions
  • Concluding Remarks: Interdisciplinarity and Public Policy.

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